Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 4.643163 5.036424 5.461793 5.958582 6.526063 7.157941 7.920181
2025-03-09 3.943917 4.471115 5.081515 5.850167 6.806510 7.977217 9.551581
2025-03-16 3.554156 4.149201 4.870674 5.828838 7.098723 8.772386 11.235605
2025-03-23 3.331181 3.981901 4.801211 5.939269 7.533292 9.780761 13.389457
2025-03-30 3.052838 3.708533 4.555896 5.770900 7.542597 10.171053 14.692848
2025-04-06 2.830002 3.483891 4.347440 5.619439 7.540118 10.522073 15.991651
2025-04-13 2.649226 3.298872 4.173082 5.491655 7.546019 10.871897 17.358360
2025-04-20 2.513904 3.164441 4.055659 5.431026 7.641018 11.373359 19.136455
2025-04-27 2.451801 3.125331 4.067575 5.561816 8.054373 12.491921 22.530151
2025-05-04 2.393318 3.086176 4.074401 5.682152 8.462155 13.676816 26.551771
2025-05-11 2.303507 2.995947 3.997986 5.660150 8.615193 14.393142 29.738801
2025-05-18 2.210269 2.895241 3.898538 5.590283 8.670409 14.916320 32.649797
2025-05-25 2.096443 2.763009 3.749594 5.437079 8.574736 15.149544 35.020566
2025-06-01 2.006573 2.662872 3.645804 5.354677 8.610377 15.702299 38.851337
2025-06-08 1.938723 2.592033 3.583088 5.337101 8.770390 16.586695 44.562682
2025-06-15 1.900468 2.563714 3.585539 5.433951 9.176019 18.191959 54.801074
2025-06-22 1.816026 2.460074 3.459562 5.286407 9.045309 18.358637 58.752590
2025-06-29 1.740469 2.367046 3.346133 5.153437 8.930564 18.548120 63.150779
2025-07-06 1.674104 2.285636 3.247716 5.041079 8.847980 18.814171 68.430198
2025-07-13 1.623032 2.226244 3.183007 4.987713 8.892495 19.474669 77.277169
2025-07-20 1.605411 2.218955 3.205281 5.102791 9.342869 21.544956 100.882690
2025-07-27 1.586808 2.209072 3.222232 5.208521 9.788811 23.794861 134.636343
2025-08-03 1.548532 2.165686 3.178744 5.189200 9.921831 24.999430 163.205257